Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe348236edfb884bbf0934e89d850fdc97ee39b6c72a316a343d097fa7eb032de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof Yangon Galacticos, Ivory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yangon Galacticos | 24c | 179.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Ivory | 77c | 158.53$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yangon Galacticos | 23c | 128.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 79.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Ivory | 57c | 61.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Ivory | 41c | 45.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…6121backed Ivory | 49c | 43.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…4a3ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 37.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Ivory | 47c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Yangon Galacticos | 64c | 29.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Ivory | 70c | 28.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Ivory | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory - Game 1 WinnerIvory won
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory - Game 2 WinnerIvory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.