Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pittsburgh vs. NC State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35244d17aaf7b416433f1704897ad8d23cd2198dc5b199f176b02ac37d11e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Stateof Pittsburgh, NC State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh | 52c | 853.67$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.56 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…d7dabacked Pittsburgh | 55c | 331$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…a262backed NC State | 45c | 236$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ec2dbacked NC State | 50c | 224$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…6facbacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 224$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…a5dabacked NC State | 47c | 203$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1611…f542backed NC State | 47c | 195$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe88…7f82backed NC State | 45c | 148$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pittsburgh | 57c | 127.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f13…dd46backed NC State | 51c | 127$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…0492backed NC State | 47c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…4784backed Pittsburgh | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…809ebacked NC State | 66c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…0162backed Pittsburgh | 55c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa7…8d29backed Pittsburgh | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…e2edbacked NC State | 45c | 62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…d5bbbacked NC State | 47c | 61.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fb…4ee0backed NC State | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…c574backed Pittsburgh | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…6c23backed NC State | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8759…fd58backed Pittsburgh | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…7575backed NC State | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…3170backed NC State | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…9de3backed Pittsburgh | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…1d83backed NC State | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…1a05backed Pittsburgh | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa166…a472backed NC State | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3180…89b4backed Pittsburgh | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked NC State | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe40…3411backed NC State | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…8225backed Pittsburgh | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…e3edbacked NC State | 65c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…c012backed NC State | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…6effbacked NC State | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d86…dd55backed Pittsburgh | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…42f2backed Pittsburgh | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0290…aa58backed Pittsburgh | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeced…0d50backed NC State | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…acccbacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869d…350cbacked NC State | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7a63backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…e950backed NC State | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…13fbbacked NC State | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…f681backed NC State | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…9277backed Pittsburgh | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…f3dfbacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…cf89backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c2…a2acbacked NC State | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…68fdbacked NC State | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…70e6backed NC State | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9072…2036backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…5120backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6bbabacked Pittsburgh | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c9…c1e9backed NC State | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…c61abacked NC State | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…436bbacked Pittsburgh | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…115ebacked NC State | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2697…390dbacked Pittsburgh | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Pittsburgh | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…1ca0backed NC State | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.