Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b8f3f4777c59054479eda06d08ddec08b6e3c94c8bdec94c41b72f8a68a3bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 51c | 1,623$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.26 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,388$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 1,125$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.12 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 52c | 707.69$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 424.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 13c | 400.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 397.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 52c | 381.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 20c | 215.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 190.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 184.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 16c | 162.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 51c | 154.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 50c | 120.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 36c | 110.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 53c | 106.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 56c | 98.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 88.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 13c | 86.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 47c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 81.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…08d5backed Yes | 25c | 72.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 50c | 54.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 52c | 40.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 49c | 40.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 50c | 33.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 72c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 52c | 22.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…4470backed Yes | 49c | 21.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986e…839ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will IK Start vs. Molde FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will IK Start win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.