Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Vittoria Paganetti vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3cfb61d46ef941d0c5a757425417383b6d9cb7851073f38ea265283398eb35a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebecca Munk Mortensenof Vittoria Paganetti, Rebecca Munk Mortensen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 65c | 5,614$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 35c | 4,747$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.14 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vittoria Paganetti | 9c | 117.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…eda2backed Vittoria Paganetti | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d47…912abacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 34c | 65.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 59c | 56.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 66c | 55.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…2b21backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 71c | 52.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…3ef3backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…f615backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 49c | 20.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Rebecca Munk Mortensen | 74c | 20.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Vittoria Paganetti | 65c | 17.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.