Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3dce64ce9d6689d40536ae50aa62b79a47125b9cb3420110fc2b2315dcf6f3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Campbell Fighting Camelsof UNCW Seahawks, Campbell Fighting Camels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,703 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 8,867$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 5,502$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 1,356$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 971.82$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 164.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 112.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 85.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 81.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 79.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 75.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 55.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked UNCW Seahawks | 50c | 43.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed UNCW Seahawks | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 47c | 39.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 51c | 27.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 44c | 26.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-7.5)this page
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW SeahawksCampbell Fighting Camels won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 147.5Over won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-6.5)Campbell Fighting Camels won
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-8.5)Campbell Fighting Camels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.