Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe42de8733169dfc57382a9b6e34d6ef370b8a70eead98fe1a9744017d703850e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 56c | 4,005$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.59 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 44c | 1,727$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.64 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Over | 44c | 1,160$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.42 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 44c | 814.85$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.32 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 599.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 575.6$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.82 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Over | 44c | 373.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Over | 44c | 236.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 44c | 196.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Over | 44c | 190.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 56c | 170.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 44c | 120.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…5efabacked Over | 44c | 67.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 79c | 59.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 22c | 51.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 49.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 57c | 23.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 57c | 20.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs BoostGate Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonBoostGate Esports won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 WinnerBoostGate Esports won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs BoostGate Esports - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.