Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a5a946acc32b652cf674369228242274499bcae95b21beb6cd550cc222c827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bouzkovaof Bouzkova, Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Bouzkova | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bouzkova | 78c | 1,471$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maneiro | 35c | 999.9$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.08 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Bouzkova | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Bouzkova | 72c | 400$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Bouzkova | 78c | 305.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Maneiro | 42c | 259.52$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Bouzkova | 63c | 259.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maneiro | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Bouzkova | 77c | 195$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Maneiro | 35c | 151.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Maneiro | 31c | 148.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Maneiro | 28c | 130.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Maneiro | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Maneiro | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Maneiro | 23c | 94.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Maneiro | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maneiro | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maneiro | 20c | 56.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Maneiro | 28c | 52.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Bouzkova | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Bouzkova | 80c | 29.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Bouzkova | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Bouzkova | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Bouzkova | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Maneirothis page
- Bouzkova vs. Maneiro: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroMarie Bouzkova won
- Marie Bouzkova vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Bouzkova vs ManeiroBouzkova won
- Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)Bouzkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.