Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 4: Darja Semenistaja vs Anna-Lena Friedsam
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4b1b19d523af688a0ab52ced4246ec1130232dc8e3b3cfb8674a92ade878849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darja Semenistajaof Darja Semenistaja, Anna-Lena Friedsam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 12c | 3,018$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.14 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 23c | 2,179$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.97 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 14c | 809.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 20c | 639.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 14c | 519.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 27c | 423.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 18c | 399.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 9c | 282$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Darja Semenistaja | 76c | 271.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Darja Semenistaja | 74c | 196.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Darja Semenistaja | 71c | 166.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 29c | 165.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 17c | 157.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Darja Semenistaja | 76c | 147.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 16c | 146.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 10c | 138.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Darja Semenistaja | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 26c | 125.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Darja Semenistaja | 75c | 107$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Darja Semenistaja | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…2239backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 26c | 90.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 17c | 87.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 23c | 82.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 24c | 80.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Darja Semenistaja | 74c | 74.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Darja Semenistaja | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Darja Semenistaja | 77c | 59.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 22c | 54.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Darja Semenistaja | 76c | 52.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Darja Semenistaja | 76c | 46.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Darja Semenistaja | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 54c | 28.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Darja Semenistaja | 73c | 26.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Darja Semenistaja | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Darja Semenistaja | 46c | 23.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Darja Semenistaja | 67c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Darja Semenistaja | 74c | 15.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.