Europa Conference League · resolved market
KRC Genk vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe56753371f13415ae9022415a8ce5195a34343a24491c4df2aa8d017397d830c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,527$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.7 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 38c | 398.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 57c | 181.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…e80bbacked Over | 61c | 145.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 121.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Under | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Over | 59c | 99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 39c | 42.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 64c | 21.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KRC Genk vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-0.5)KRC Genk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.