Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier B: Seychelles vs Tanzania
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58db30c3d83c1364cddd8b670fd0a754fb6020aea8991d592a23eeee3b195e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tanzaniaof Seychelles, Tanzania
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x454f…8df5backed Seychelles | 45c | 1,742$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Seychelles | 9c | 1,466$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seychelles | 6c | 798.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Tanzania | 68c | 769.15$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Tanzania | 58c | 501.69$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Tanzania | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…1c98backed Seychelles | 7c | 270.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb650…00fdbacked Seychelles | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Seychelles | 5c | 231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Tanzania | 50c | 188.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…e3ffbacked Tanzania | 67c | 59.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Tanzania | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Tanzania | 72c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.