TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Mexico vs. Boise State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boise Stateof New Mexico, Boise State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1250…8f99backed New Mexico42c2,324$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.7712045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Boise State66c2,223$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.8428445.1%128 W · 156 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Boise State65c1,650$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.1153057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed New Mexico19c1,370$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.522040%8 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Boise State65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7060551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked New Mexico36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.228335%99 W · 184 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Boise State65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed New Mexico35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3548462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico35c77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Boise State67c73.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14d7…774ebacked New Mexico35c30.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.771127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d79…a03bbacked Boise State65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Boise State63c29.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7534842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Boise State67c28.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeae9…fc56backed New Mexico50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e4…eabebacked Boise State50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f2b…fcbebacked Boise State45c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f7…82e1backed Boise State50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6468…a112backed Boise State50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e2…af5cbacked New Mexico50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f9…6375backed Boise State50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5483…5f1fbacked New Mexico50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc76f…a4dfbacked New Mexico50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99d…30babacked New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb1…ba3dbacked Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866d…d50cbacked Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2be…b5f1backed Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f23…913ebacked New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3546…9b95backed New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa10…da5fbacked New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc06e…b5e0backed New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc454…7619backed Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2daf…b449backed Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e0…e280backed New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eed…f382backed Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea57…738bbacked Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabf…ca2fbacked Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb0…58a9backed Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fb…a918backed Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78dc…586ebacked New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7a…accabacked New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…787dbacked New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ab…07b0backed New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x343a…b33dbacked New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf461…54f7backed New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…b379backed New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1377…fe75backed Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f37…9da1backed Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65cf…4034backed Boise State50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x657f…3316backed New Mexico50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f15…df4abacked Boise State49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319c…f9abbacked Boise State50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0d…5e48backed Boise State49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed78…f535backed Boise State49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0540…b467backed New Mexico51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8274…14ddbacked New Mexico50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f8…f95abacked Boise State49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…b289backed Boise State50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2585…82febacked Boise State48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be9…3fd9backed Boise State49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e21…5c56backed Boise State49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b8e…9e65backed Boise State49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc481…e0b1backed New Mexico51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a20…dd2fbacked New Mexico51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…661bbacked New Mexico51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0343…d3a8backed New Mexico51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x055c…315bbacked New Mexico51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a0…b60fbacked Boise State49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa05…8628backed New Mexico51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b89…0b1abacked Boise State49c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4f…e9f6backed New Mexico51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5360…486dbacked New Mexico51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f98…0ec3backed New Mexico51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae3e…5507backed New Mexico50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc225…2633backed Boise State49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf432…0a5fbacked New Mexico55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x968b…2d5fbacked Boise State50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61e…936cbacked New Mexico51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe280…a739backed Boise State49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+140.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6d…d44dbacked New Mexico49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6742…2813backed New Mexico49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb493…4286backed New Mexico49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61d…601abacked Boise State50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6c…9273backed Boise State50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf7a…7229backed Boise State49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ae…b1d7backed New Mexico52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d1…65abbacked New Mexico51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa36…436cbacked New Mexico51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ddb…8924backed Boise State49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd6e…3019backed New Mexico51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x875f…d20bbacked New Mexico55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…9beebacked New Mexico49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87aa…3a20backed New Mexico49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ec…3a2dbacked New Mexico49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb108…b86bbacked New Mexico50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc77e…6127backed New Mexico50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…e591backed Boise State49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…ee55backed Boise State51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3957…a2efbacked Boise State51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea3…cdbbbacked Boise State51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.