Premier League · resolved market
Preston North End FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe71b1185e382a7be7dc03b28ec1f237dcf164120fb8128d3d3f5dbb059709dec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,660 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 2,849$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.26 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 1,695$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 1,476$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.37 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 1,391$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.43 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 577.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 8c | 379.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 53c | 339.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 47c | 314.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 124.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 57.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 53.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 45c | 33.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…c640backed Under | 55c | 19.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 78c | 17.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Preston North End FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Preston North End FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Preston North End FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Preston North End FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)Preston North End FC won
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)Preston North End FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.