NHL · resolved market
AHL: Abbotsford Canucks vs. Calgary Wranglers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe71bfa030731476795541fe99e74fe1414038c3619b6b120ca478118ec183256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abbotsford Canucksof Abbotsford Canucks, Calgary Wranglers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Calgary Wranglers | 54c | 972.72$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.31 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 46c | 515.93$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Calgary Wranglers | 12c | 264.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 46c | 262$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 46c | 86.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Calgary Wranglers | 39c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Abbotsford Canucks | 45c | 68.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Abbotsford Canucks | 67c | 64.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Abbotsford Canucks | 55c | 56.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Abbotsford Canucks | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Calgary Wranglers | 54c | 38.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Abbotsford Canucks | 46c | 34.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 55c | 29.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.