Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e6637b8b4c4ad2bc28691226f76973cd4747912840e0a55d8e59009c81d25c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 43c | 20,001$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 43c | 9,731$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.32 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 44c | 454.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +457%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 352.29$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 57c | 312.24$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 57c | 259.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…37f1backed No | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…9b25backed Yes | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b3a4backed No | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…67fcbacked Yes | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Yes | 58c | 172.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 42c | 165.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 43c | 107.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 102.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…15d9backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Yes | 54c | 60.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 47c | 49.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 44.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…3c3fbacked Yes | 55c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…5fd8backed Yes | 56c | 21.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Yes | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Yes | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will FC Famalicão vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.