Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina Central vs. Delaware State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7f4dd341b448df9a6ec683c58cbaa34c87e88a94815d5460215b498b0b35385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delaware Stateof North Carolina Central, Delaware State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefc4…f39bbacked North Carolina Central | 27c | 277$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…3c44backed North Carolina Central | 26c | 188$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe776…5f73backed North Carolina Central | 40c | 148$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…46b6backed Delaware State | 73c | 126$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…22c3backed North Carolina Central | 40c | 109$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…f4c3backed North Carolina Central | 27c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…8a39backed Delaware State | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0d…f737backed North Carolina Central | 43c | 95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…4599backed Delaware State | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…8ae2backed Delaware State | 74c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…8234backed Delaware State | 50c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Carolina Central | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…dc35backed North Carolina Central | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…50d2backed Delaware State | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…b15bbacked Delaware State | 73c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8f…daddbacked North Carolina Central | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…a3bfbacked North Carolina Central | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…6b90backed Delaware State | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…9a65backed Delaware State | 73c | 63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…d89bbacked Delaware State | 60c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…12a3backed Delaware State | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…7447backed Delaware State | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…5d0dbacked North Carolina Central | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…015cbacked North Carolina Central | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…b453backed Delaware State | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…40fdbacked Delaware State | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…0c90backed Delaware State | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d0…7e41backed Delaware State | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…ccaabacked North Carolina Central | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…221dbacked Delaware State | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…ed96backed Delaware State | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…ca2dbacked Delaware State | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.