Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8981ca8f5142c0343cf9b2e0091795a928a3eec9ae45fed871c2723ee319e4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof JD Gaming, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc290…2e06backed JD Gaming | 5c | 958.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed JD Gaming | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked TYLOO | 57c | 352.13$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…5554backed JD Gaming | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked JD Gaming | 31c | 147.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JD Gaming | 39c | 135.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…d91cbacked TYLOO | 73c | 129.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed JD Gaming | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming | 42c | 123.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TYLOO | 59c | 71.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed JD Gaming | 28c | 69.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…8827backed JD Gaming | 45c | 43.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed JD Gaming | 40c | 36.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40aa…e51ebacked TYLOO | 60c | 33.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JD Gaming | 39c | 30.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…1f0dbacked TYLOO | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…0c84backed TYLOO | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked TYLOO | 60c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed TYLOO | 70c | 23.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)TYLOO won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsTYLOO won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 3 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.