Euroleague · resolved market
Burgos vs. Bilbao Basket
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe948a1500d55e8a11fca9a97da0cca7df40f0178eb9df23762007cee2d7f3f9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burgosof Burgos, Bilbao Basket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,469 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Burgos | 28c | 630.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.55 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilbao Basket | 62c | 462.78$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.05 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Burgos | 40c | 356.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.44 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bilbao Basket | 52c | 246.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bilbao Basket | 50c | 203.21$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Burgos | 14c | 95.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Burgos | 50c | 85.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Burgos | 51c | 84.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bilbao Basket | 65c | 83.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Bilbao Basket | 52c | 83.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Bilbao Basket | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Burgos | 50c | 61.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bilbao Basket | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Bilbao Basket | 57c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Burgos | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Burgos | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Burgos | 49c | 34.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Burgos | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Burgos | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Burgos | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Burgos | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Bilbao Basket | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Burgos | 49c | 22.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65c…14e7backed Bilbao Basket | 50c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bilbao Basket | 50c | 20.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Burgos | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Burgos | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.