Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open, Qualification: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Alina Charaeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c39afd5104c5bd0b9ec26dc66515f8773c993f9d4189ef752818c72f72ec4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quevedoof Quevedo, Charaeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Charaeva | 42c | 2,234$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.3 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…8724backed Quevedo | 60c | 1,981$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Quevedo | 53c | 1,139$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.55 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Charaeva | 16c | 540.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Charaeva | 45c | 432.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Quevedo | 77c | 243.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Charaeva | 25c | 206$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Charaeva | 19c | 202.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Quevedo | 57c | 195$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Charaeva | 27c | 163$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Quevedo | 77c | 137.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Quevedo | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f6…2f6bbacked Quevedo | 44c | 118.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Charaeva | 35c | 111.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Charaeva | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…0e92backed Charaeva | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…f00dbacked Charaeva | 29c | 48.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed Quevedo | 72c | 36.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Quevedo | 79c | 28.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…cb41backed Quevedo | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…d039backed Quevedo | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Quevedo | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…fc61backed Quevedo | 64c | 16.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.