Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea80ffd068f792e6d3408f83b4fdbfb3ebb45132cc3d4f9eb5313a92e38606e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 25c | 3,436$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.45 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 2,240$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,882$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.51 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 75c | 722.15$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Yes | 80c | 535$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 64c | 497.27$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9096backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…681cbacked Yes | 64c | 148.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes | 73c | 138.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…441ebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 16c | 93.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Yes | 60c | 71.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes | 44c | 69.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…5f03backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 17c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 35c | 63.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…e02abacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…e263backed Yes | 74c | 22.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 80c | 19.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01?No won
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.