NHL · resolved market
SHL: Linkoeping vs. Roegle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea8176584f74c622b2b9b3b2f9c822d9edafce5120edaf875e6df14babb2d7f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roegleof Linkoeping, Roegle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Roegle | 59c | 224.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Roegle | 59c | 213$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Roegle | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Roegle | 59c | 185$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Linkoeping | 39c | 124.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Roegle | 59c | 113$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Roegle | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Roegle | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Roegle | 55c | 92.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Roegle | 59c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Roegle | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Roegle | 59c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Roegle | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Roegle | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Roegle | 59c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Linkoeping | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Roegle | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Roegle | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Roegle | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Linkoeping | 41c | 61.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Linkoeping | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Roegle | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Linkoeping | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Linkoeping | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Roegle | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Linkoeping | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Linkoeping | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Linkoeping | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Linkoeping | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Linkoeping | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Linkoeping | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Linkoeping | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Linkoeping | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Linkoeping | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Linkoeping | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Linkoeping | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Linkoeping | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Linkoeping | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Linkoeping | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Linkoeping | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Linkoeping | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Linkoeping | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Linkoeping | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Linkoeping | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Linkoeping | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Linkoeping | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Linkoeping | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Roegle | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.