Tennis · resolved market
Sion: Sandro Kopp vs Luca Wiedenmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea922dd67d87253744c0aa9e8424b5b20c224d0ade8b8ffc1da7138b989bc91c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sandro Koppof Sandro Kopp, Luca Wiedenmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Luca Wiedenmann | 16c | 2,509$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sandro Kopp | 79c | 1,237$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Luca Wiedenmann | 35c | 1,193$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.9 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Luca Wiedenmann | 19c | 559.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Luca Wiedenmann | 37c | 299.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Sandro Kopp | 72c | 160.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Luca Wiedenmann | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Luca Wiedenmann | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sandro Kopp | 74c | 146.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Luca Wiedenmann | 37c | 122.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sandro Kopp | 69c | 93.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…055bbacked Luca Wiedenmann | 34c | 88.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Sandro Kopp | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Sandro Kopp | 77c | 42.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sandro Kopp | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sandro Kopp | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Sandro Kopp | 71c | 26.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 301 | 50.2%151 W · 150 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Sandro Kopp | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sandro Kopp | 67c | 25.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Sandro Kopp | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sion: Sandro Kopp vs Luca Wiedenmannthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kopp vs WiedenmannKopp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.