Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Yorkshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeab94c98632522826258cf94033d2209d374d87e94e4aa6762e7fccec4d79126
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yorkshireof Nottinghamshire, Yorkshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Nottinghamshire | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yorkshire | 49c | 942.27$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nottinghamshire | 44c | 425.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…5ef9backed Nottinghamshire | 12c | 242.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nottinghamshire | 36c | 209.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Yorkshire | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Yorkshire | 49c | 204.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nottinghamshire | 14c | 127.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe023…61a6backed Yorkshire | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Yorkshire | 50c | 103.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yorkshire | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…65c8backed Nottinghamshire | 14c | 73.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nottinghamshire | 49c | 49.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yorkshire | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yorkshire | 62c | 40.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yorkshire | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Nottinghamshire | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Yorkshire | 48c | 33.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nottinghamshire | 38c | 33.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Nottinghamshire | 51c | 32.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…d985backed Nottinghamshire | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…af23backed Yorkshire | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yorkshire | 59c | 23.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…7dfbbacked Nottinghamshire | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…8e0ebacked Nottinghamshire | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…67b6backed Yorkshire | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yorkshire | 50c | 20.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yorkshire | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Nottinghamshire | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.