Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bastia-Lucciana: Alexander Weis vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb43d0fb680a55bacb2693759471adc30eac7734168a1d5c2b5ffcd02a874ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yanis Ghazouani Durandof Alexander Weis, Yanis Ghazouani Durand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexander Weis | 31c | 3,155$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 77c | 2,475$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 28c | 263.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 64c | 195.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 28c | 70.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Alexander Weis | 19c | 68.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Alexander Weis | 68c | 30.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alexander Weis | 71c | 25.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Alexander Weis | 73c | 25.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Alexander Weis | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.