CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec126ebbb46f1ee3a54cf8bbf88c5d139f990ee4b8e22f4a26e65cf4c98f80a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof Infinite, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ca1…fc58backed fnatic | 66c | 6,584$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Infinite | 34c | 3,887$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic | 60c | 1,247$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked fnatic | 61c | 1,209$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.44 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Infinite | 34c | 986.54$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Infinite | 40c | 951.51$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.23 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Infinite | 42c | 781.2$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.1 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Infinite | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Infinite | 37c | 693.18$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 63c | 435.66$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked fnatic | 54c | 386.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.81 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Infinite | 31c | 319.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed fnatic | 58c | 308.41$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Infinite | 34c | 295.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Infinite | 42c | 258.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Infinite | 17c | 228.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Infinite | 47c | 208.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Infinite | 34c | 145.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed fnatic | 44c | 98.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked fnatic | 28c | 70.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Infinite | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed fnatic | 52c | 49.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked fnatic | 65c | 45.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed fnatic | 61c | 42.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Infinite | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed fnatic | 76c | 26.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Infinite | 51c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed fnatic | 65c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked fnatic | 75c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs fnatic (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.