Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fordham vs. Richmond
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec35f386339ec1a4f341d23362b2dceef10c2e9fab988f84a0d79d464cb85c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Richmondof Fordham, Richmond
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Richmond | 63c | 807.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fordham | 44c | 690$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Fordham | 19c | 292.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…fce1backed Richmond | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…8dc4backed Fordham | 50c | 163$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…4cc0backed Fordham | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Richmond | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Richmond | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…72cbbacked Richmond | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Fordham | 49c | 43.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Richmond | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Richmond | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85c…7e07backed Fordham | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…5173backed Richmond | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.