Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Petros Mantalos record the most cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec57c950aa9885baeb29ac30725fa43d93a735f03a9cbc1e35f5fc0e503513c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x256d…026dbacked No | 75c | 199.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…bbc4backed No | 75c | 198.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…c0a3backed No | 75c | 196.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…3862backed No | 75c | 196.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…a6cdbacked No | 75c | 192.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…818abacked No | 75c | 192.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e28…7e91backed No | 75c | 191.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f7e2backed No | 75c | 190.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…e56bbacked No | 75c | 189.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…7e72backed No | 75c | 188.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…1d41backed No | 75c | 185.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…69d1backed No | 75c | 183.69$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…20cbbacked No | 75c | 182.3$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea8…80c3backed No | 75c | 181.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e6…3544backed No | 75c | 181.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…d691backed No | 75c | 180.47$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…9270backed No | 75c | 179.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…ea44backed No | 75c | 178.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fd…5e40backed No | 75c | 177.51$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…82f0backed No | 75c | 176.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…a987backed Yes | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Petros Mantalos record the most cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?this page
- Will Guéla Maho Lewis Doué record the most cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
- Will Nikolas Veratschnig record the most cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.