Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec792bd038440c9c7afe4c9eeb91cb637272b5e2a81f8ff183fee642b0a249d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 64c | 1,091$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 41c | 624.03$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.77 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 41c | 465.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 386$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 380.8$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 267$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…8642backed Yes | 34c | 125.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 59c | 116.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 46c | 57.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567b…27d7backed No | 52c | 36.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 51c | 32.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…b62abacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-26?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.