Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: RED Canids vs Equipe Caos (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec885ce176407187ed777568574f1e600940b53a0aba2c93da2e21a9c5117ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Equipe Caos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,551 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Canids | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Equipe Caos | 54c | 323.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Equipe Caos | 59c | 249.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed RED Canids | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked RED Canids | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Equipe Caos | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed RED Canids | 41c | 172.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…b680backed Equipe Caos | 59c | 166$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Equipe Caos | 59c | 157.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked RED Canids | 47c | 89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked RED Canids | 42c | 84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked RED Canids | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Equipe Caos | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids | 73c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RED Canids | 45c | 23.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Equipe Caos | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Equipe Caos | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: RED Canids vs Equipe Caos (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-Inthis page
- Valorant: RED Canids vs Equipe Caos - Map 2 WinnerEquipe Caos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.