Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Grand Canyon vs. UT Arlington
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec9980aec8dfa8fdd8aff87300aa7cb8aaa385e6f53065a5971703943c7450a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grand Canyonof Grand Canyon, UT Arlington
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3503…b8babacked UT Arlington | 67c | 128,003$85,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,762.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe354…6aa4backed Grand Canyon | 33c | 128,003$42,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,762.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Grand Canyon | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed UT Arlington | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grand Canyon | 74c | 507.92$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed UT Arlington | 26c | 465.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…d48dbacked UT Arlington | 25c | 425$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked UT Arlington | 24c | 402.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Grand Canyon | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…fc5abacked UT Arlington | 25c | 285$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcc…a870backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…3fd9backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…fcf7backed Grand Canyon | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…1c13backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…5c3fbacked UT Arlington | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…6b60backed UT Arlington | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…9944backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…f84ebacked UT Arlington | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…35d1backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe374…3365backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…596ebacked UT Arlington | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1611…f542backed Grand Canyon | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…e4e3backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…81babacked Grand Canyon | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…3f23backed UT Arlington | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d33backed UT Arlington | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…5a6dbacked Grand Canyon | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…9538backed UT Arlington | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…7915backed Grand Canyon | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11da…14f7backed UT Arlington | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cb…d510backed Grand Canyon | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…df97backed UT Arlington | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bb…b014backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf8…7183backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cc…ed0abacked UT Arlington | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…364dbacked Grand Canyon | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…0f5cbacked UT Arlington | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…85e2backed Grand Canyon | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4123…3ab1backed UT Arlington | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…42a1backed Grand Canyon | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…2a69backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…17d5backed UT Arlington | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…90d5backed Grand Canyon | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…72b0backed UT Arlington | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…7aa5backed Grand Canyon | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +192.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb62a…3df3backed UT Arlington | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…de5cbacked Grand Canyon | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…46c6backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…a7e6backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…81d3backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531d…0410backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…9db7backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…d5a9backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b7…b82bbacked Grand Canyon | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf3…1380backed Grand Canyon | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.