Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Morgan State vs. SC State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecbf0212208ab855c809693df4d1795a7d01933dcdf387753b26f91095894543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Stateof Morgan State, SC State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3af3…9189backed SC State | 50c | 366$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…8613backed SC State | 50c | 257$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6689…0600backed Morgan State | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…e848backed Morgan State | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…322cbacked SC State | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…c91dbacked Morgan State | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc004…d099backed SC State | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…e3cebacked Morgan State | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47d…67edbacked Morgan State | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…b6e8backed Morgan State | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…2d14backed SC State | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da9…1953backed Morgan State | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…81b5backed Morgan State | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…694abacked Morgan State | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…64c3backed Morgan State | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae9…42adbacked Morgan State | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…4e9cbacked Morgan State | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…0435backed Morgan State | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…48e1backed SC State | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a52…31cdbacked Morgan State | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…678bbacked Morgan State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…da8cbacked Morgan State | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…3e1fbacked SC State | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed SC State | 77c | 13.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.