Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lamar vs. Texas A&M Commerce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecf3902ee7302fc70a9499cfafff7a6e37dcb6defd5f9afd10720132e8edcbd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lamarof Lamar, Texas A&M Commerce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe82…8132backed Lamar | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…8416backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6514…9303backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…a5b3backed Lamar | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…b4e8backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654c…21bebacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…c112backed Lamar | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…3b4cbacked Lamar | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…a0c4backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a8c6backed Lamar | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…1320backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…dccabacked Lamar | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…db91backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…8b7abacked Lamar | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…9732backed Lamar | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…a16cbacked Lamar | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…1c81backed Lamar | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 35c | 31.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Lamar | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0290…0afabacked Texas A&M Commerce | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce2…4086backed Lamar | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…f7fcbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…d3acbacked Lamar | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…5c44backed Lamar | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fc…c45fbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…3c43backed Lamar | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…9d47backed Lamar | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…cfdfbacked Lamar | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…5d92backed Lamar | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.