Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Mazzola vs Spiteri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecfcc56e09b7ba5ad255fe19c289007d776c695fd97b12b18bedb2a17d26f7b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiteriof Mazzola, Spiteri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Mazzola | 31c | 3,476$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.22 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spiteri | 69c | 1,000$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Spiteri | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mazzola | 48c | 453.74$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Mazzola | 54c | 358.74$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Mazzola | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Spiteri | 42c | 280.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Mazzola | 60c | 275.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…9517backed Mazzola | 62c | 212.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spiteri | 63c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Mazzola | 13c | 180.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…ac6dbacked Mazzola | 30c | 162.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Spiteri | 79c | 126.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Mazzola | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…0900backed Mazzola | 61c | 104.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mazzola | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spiteri | 61c | 79.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spiteri | 70c | 75.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Mazzola | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Spiteri | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Mazzola | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…1a92backed Mazzola | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Spiteri | 48c | 45.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Mazzola | 54c | 41.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Mazzola | 73c | 34.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mazzola | 36c | 29.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Spiteri | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Mazzola | 61c | 19.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Mazzola vs Spiterithis page
- Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila SpiteriDalila Spiteri won
- Set Handicap: Mazzola (-1.5) vs Spiteri (+1.5)Spiteri won
- Set Handicap: Spiteri (-1.5) vs Mazzola (+1.5)Spiteri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.