Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed56ec2f42c23aa0929bfce077a9149fb3d9dd49aa03d29d180c51d472fb6468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 50c | 908$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…dff2backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 672.96$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.77 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 443.29$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 49c | 395.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 248.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 226.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 178$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 104.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 98.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 79.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…9d16backed Over | 49c | 45.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f01dbacked Over | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe452…4de3backed Over | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2977backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.