Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: New Zealand vs USA (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5a284f3bc9f3ca79d5ca388f9b3f4d8dc119c9725843c393de1390a103d506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Zealandof New Zealand, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed USA | 5c | 15,851$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.3 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed USA | 3c | 10,615$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked USA | 7c | 3,201$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed USA | 5c | 2,993$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed USA | 2c | 2,560$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed USA | 4c | 2,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed USA | 2c | 1,872$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…1f3dbacked USA | 10c | 1,705$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…2f7bbacked USA | 3c | 1,685$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…57a6backed USA | 3c | 1,623$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…4747backed USA | 5c | 1,562$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed USA | 4c | 1,429$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked New Zealand | 72c | 1,418$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.95 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked New Zealand | 75c | 1,314$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.51 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6253backed USA | 13c | 1,084$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…751ebacked USA | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed USA | 3c | 850$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…c16cbacked USA | 3c | 750$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -94%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed USA | 4c | 721.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked USA | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked USA | 3c | 648.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed USA | 3c | 578.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Zealand | 75c | 549.34$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed USA | 7c | 512$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked USA | 4c | 500.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed USA | 10c | 484.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 66 | 9.1%6 W · 60 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…1686backed USA | 4c | 480$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed USA | 8c | 431.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b30…d326backed USA | 4c | 389.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed USA | 3c | 347.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed USA | 8c | 342.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked USA | 8c | 316.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked USA | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed USA | 9c | 292.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…b354backed USA | 4c | 264.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed USA | 7c | 251.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked USA | 5c | 247.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked USA | 6c | 247.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed USA | 8c | 235.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed USA | 6c | 229.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb5…e442backed USA | 6c | 187.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed New Zealand | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…8789backed USA | 46c | 32.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…c7cebacked New Zealand | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- International T20 Series: New Zealand vs USA (Game 1)this page
- International T20 Series: New Zealand vs USA (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?USA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.