Champions League · resolved market
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeddda4f6f2a31b499916dff80fe4bb51b4db293e6cc73aabe0fb2cd850c13e23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,692 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 38c | 433.56$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.75 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 35c | 362.14$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 37c | 310.63$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 65c | 308.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed No | 41c | 306.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 63c | 277.39$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e786backed Yes | 62c | 269.44$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 60c | 165.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 131.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…6c78backed Yes | 62c | 69.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…7205backed Yes | 56c | 55.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…8d4cbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 38c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…22ebbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 37c | 29.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed No | 50c | 21.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…23efbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…9633backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Jamal Musiala: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Luis Diaz: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.