Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fokina vs Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedecb43072bebc3f7c8ee5efaa3b1b198c455357e973b96ade1cd6daa39c7768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Fokina, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Fokina | 44c | 999.94$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Minaur | 56c | 316.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Minaur | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Minaur | 56c | 210.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Minaur | 56c | 134.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Minaur | 56c | 35.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Minaur | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fokina vs Minaurthis page
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Fokina vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fokina vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)Fokina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.