Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedfc0abdf30c73a8c6df8de8e66f92d95f31e463be933beadd7238a3a129fdb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 10,192$7,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 19c | 9,979$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.73 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 35c | 2,949$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.3 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 1,956$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.31 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 10c | 1,363$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked No | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 21c | 862.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 65c | 265$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 68c | 197$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 80c | 104.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 32c | 61.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 31c | 39.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…6f5dbacked Yes | 69c | 39.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 70c | 21.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.