Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TL.A (-1.5) vs Ghools Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee122e79610b501e285eae9caa07ff1a1e31642554602d92621d11df5e3c0c62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquid Academyof Team Liquid Academy, Ghools Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Ghools Esports | 39c | 1,333$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.87 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Team Liquid Academy | 61c | 652.46$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.46 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Team Liquid Academy | 61c | 511.35$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Ghools Esports | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Team Liquid Academy | 59c | 371.19$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Ghools Esports | 41c | 364.49$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid Academy | 43c | 325$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ghools Esports | 59c | 240$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Ghools Esports | 45c | 224.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ghools Esports | 39c | 185$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Team Liquid Academy | 61c | 185$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Team Liquid Academy | 62c | 162.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Team Liquid Academy | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Team Liquid Academy | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Team Liquid Academy | 62c | 132.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Liquid Academy | 60c | 112.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Ghools Esports | 38c | 107.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Team Liquid Academy | 61c | 99.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Team Liquid Academy | 65c | 61.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…d36ebacked Ghools Esports | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Liquid Academy | 53c | 58.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Ghools Esports | 38c | 50.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Team Liquid Academy | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Team Liquid Academy | 60c | 40.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Ghools Esports | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Team Liquid Academy | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Ghools Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ghools Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Ghools Esports | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Team Liquid Academy | 62c | 19.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TL.A (-1.5) vs Ghools Esports (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group DTeam Liquid Academy won
- Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid Academy won
- Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.