Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Bognor Regis Town FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee215773a97298f3b3f7af2b026c55951ac6466b3b62241643161113e9a64fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Grinstead Town FCof Bognor Regis Town FC, East Grinstead Town FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bognor Regis Town FC | 47c | 139.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed East Grinstead Town FC | 52c | 96.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Bognor Regis Town FC | 44c | 55.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed East Grinstead Town FC | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed East Grinstead Town FC | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Bognor Regis Town FC | 48c | 46.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed East Grinstead Town FC | 54c | 27.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.