Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rider vs. Iona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0b4f70e318b573a9cdd688cc2dcbe3e087b036b99b338a93a12378eb50542b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riderof Rider, Iona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Iona | 47c | 926.01$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.09 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rider | 54c | 418.55$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.72 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rider | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…7f20backed Rider | 59c | 185$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…4bbcbacked Rider | 29c | 177$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…1ca9backed Iona | 71c | 127$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…baebbacked Iona | 41c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…b508backed Rider | 56c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…bb70backed Rider | 29c | 77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a0…7752backed Iona | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…22b0backed Iona | 41c | 68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…06e0backed Iona | 41c | 68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…cbc5backed Rider | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa551…1b78backed Rider | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd4…d034backed Rider | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…a58abacked Iona | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…7c66backed Iona | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874c…3c4dbacked Iona | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…65b1backed Iona | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…1175backed Iona | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…df6fbacked Iona | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…1db3backed Iona | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…ebdcbacked Iona | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…07eabacked Iona | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Iona | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…05b4backed Rider | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…455ebacked Iona | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…ac25backed Rider | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…4d99backed Rider | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…f4acbacked Rider | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…9736backed Rider | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…8ac7backed Iona | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f45…aef6backed Rider | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…6c4dbacked Iona | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.