CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef552d1ad7655cadadc586621c22d9f3327b2c72fd189be8528ca1420ebe6767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof UNiTY esports, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 1,550$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.46 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…21debacked ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 943$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…7883backed ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 919$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…e6bebacked ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 915.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…bcebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 899.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…00dbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 898$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…d4f8backed ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 878.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…bf7bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 874$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…3106backed ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 873$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…37aebacked ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 704.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…4d62backed ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 687$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…1d88backed ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 659$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 513.78$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 450$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 405.66$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.11 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 400.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 289.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.96 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 122.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 108.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 89.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 45.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 40.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 40.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed UNiTY esports | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerUNiTY esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.