Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Villanova vs. UConn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefa066bb1227305469670245eecd279f09730b4b0330e946c72010da2ca032af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UConnof Villanova, UConn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Villanova | 24c | 1,000$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Villanova | 77c | 823.26$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +873.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UConn | 76c | 708.7$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed UConn | 78c | 614.33$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked UConn | 53c | 561.4$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed UConn | 77c | 547.84$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Villanova | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed UConn | 36c | 406.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked UConn | 79c | 222.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Villanova | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Villanova | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed UConn | 32c | 155.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Villanova | 43c | 137.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed UConn | 78c | 135.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked UConn | 57c | 99.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Villanova | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Villanova | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed UConn | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.