CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefa97938a9a5ba4ca0383f68bad4c4fdac1cdb692679e41ddf9991ba20be1bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdcc…e679backed Oxuji Esports | 30c | 654$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed Hashiras | 70c | 437$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…627cbacked Hashiras | 70c | 216$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…ce73backed Oxuji Esports | 20c | 134$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +274.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Hashiras | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Oxuji Esports | 50c | 123.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked Oxuji Esports | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hashiras | 69c | 113.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Hashiras | 39c | 99.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Hashiras | 59c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…e685backed Hashiras | 80c | 62.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Hashiras | 37c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91d…1635backed Hashiras | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.