Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb5b3c7b894642eebb47a2820d0bc821ef9ce03540a7dbb1fd9a4df9124443b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 1,436$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 74c | 494.4$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 493.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 464.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…2e5ebacked Over | 80c | 418.7$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 340$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 292.79$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 289.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…af4abacked Under | 53c | 251.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 52c | 88.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8589…bd9cbacked Over | 54c | 53.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…d91abacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 47c | 42.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 35.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…2090backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…f24ebacked Over | 53c | 28.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.