CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs aimclub (BO1) - DraculaN Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb77dde702a6a16c3c044960b53fbd96626caa5e102b011e2bf74983f24bf2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lazer Catsof Lazer Cats, aimclub
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lazer Cats | 65c | 2,003$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.15 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed aimclub | 35c | 899.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed aimclub | 35c | 885.42$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.9 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed aimclub | 39c | 444$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Lazer Cats | 61c | 398.36$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed aimclub | 39c | 376.03$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed aimclub | 39c | 342.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Lazer Cats | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed Lazer Cats | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked aimclub | 35c | 122.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lazer Cats | 61c | 112.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Lazer Cats | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed aimclub | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed aimclub | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Lazer Cats | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lazer Cats | 79c | 48.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Lazer Cats | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Lazer Cats | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lazer Cats | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…713dbacked aimclub | 40c | 31.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.