Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd14f34390915ec5f3bcc1b25a47ad42004721672e7a9ef7def48f091cbf068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx | 3c | 2,681$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx | 63c | 1,299$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.85 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed L1ga Team | 49c | 1,101$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.58 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Lynx | 27c | 999.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Lynx | 63c | 795.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked L1ga Team | 55c | 771.08$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Lynx | 24c | 740.79$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed L1ga Team | 36c | 740.42$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.77 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 61c | 699.28$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Team Lynx | 41c | 545.49$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked L1ga Team | 39c | 355.7$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 52c | 343.78$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…aa06backed L1ga Team | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Lynx | 68c | 298.07$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.69 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked L1ga Team | 45c | 269.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed L1ga Team | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 237.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Lynx | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed L1ga Team | 40c | 199.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 69c | 167$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed L1ga Team | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Team Lynx | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…cbc7backed Team Lynx | 64c | 157.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Team Lynx | 54c | 142.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Lynx | 61c | 130.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 102.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked L1ga Team | 36c | 87.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Team Lynx | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed L1ga Team | 45c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed L1ga Team | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Lynx | 57c | 57.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Team Lynx | 53c | 56.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked Team Lynx | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed L1ga Team | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Team Lynx | 41c | 49.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…6d4bbacked Team Lynx | 69c | 47.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked L1ga Team | 63c | 44.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fa…2769backed L1ga Team | 38c | 42.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 39c | 41.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Team Lynx | 61c | 39.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…21d9backed L1ga Team | 61c | 36.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Team Lynx | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Team Lynx | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Team Lynx | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Team Lynx | 61c | 23.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Team Lynx | 56c | 22.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Team Lynx | 68c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed L1ga Team | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Lynx (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.