La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdee57a0244546aa0aa09c9791917837beadf886c1ff794c5c1a441739bed44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 8,238$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.49 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 8,000$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 45c | 4,515$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.59 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 55c | 3,675$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.17 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 1,880$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 691.15$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.15 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 41c | 309.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes | 59c | 283.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 162.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 34c | 89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 76.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee77…ad2abacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 56c | 60.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 29c | 56.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 55c | 51.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 49.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 53c | 42.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…1e52backed No | 47c | 31.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 47c | 26.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 23.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will SD Huesca vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.