Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefeb14f6ef8761240d21ae6fd923b1ecad8485de8e973b91fda4bbf987020294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 57c | 287$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 57c | 184$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 58c | 169$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 57c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 59c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 58c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: NextGeneration Esports vs One More Esports - Game 1 WinnerNextGeneration Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.