Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Hampshire vs. Binghamton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf008f69969ca9b3af0391e50aad3825d30c8cf155104df4b4dad30411e689900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Binghamtonof New Hampshire, Binghamton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed New Hampshire | 24c | 801$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Binghamton | 75c | 800.83$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…290bbacked New Hampshire | 50c | 227$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…edbbbacked Binghamton | 50c | 219$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…14c0backed New Hampshire | 50c | 219$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30df…5ca1backed New Hampshire | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…d1ffbacked Binghamton | 50c | 195$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…d89fbacked New Hampshire | 24c | 188$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…fb89backed Binghamton | 76c | 181$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc211…bd00backed Binghamton | 50c | 177$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd488…5c6cbacked New Hampshire | 24c | 139$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…7e5bbacked New Hampshire | 24c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd33…0301backed Binghamton | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…729dbacked New Hampshire | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…baacbacked Binghamton | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8983backed New Hampshire | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…6325backed New Hampshire | 24c | 76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…a12bbacked Binghamton | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Binghamton | 75c | 60.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…b374backed Binghamton | 27c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +158.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…f463backed Binghamton | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…3094backed Binghamton | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…fdc3backed Binghamton | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…cd4dbacked Binghamton | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…0e89backed Binghamton | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…cd81backed Binghamton | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…24a4backed Binghamton | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…1a22backed New Hampshire | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…4c82backed New Hampshire | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e692backed New Hampshire | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5c…aa39backed Binghamton | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…1751backed New Hampshire | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…c692backed New Hampshire | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…cd82backed Binghamton | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe334…53c0backed Binghamton | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf3…c575backed New Hampshire | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…ad20backed New Hampshire | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…4fbdbacked Binghamton | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb419…6fecbacked New Hampshire | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…e576backed Binghamton | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…1bc7backed New Hampshire | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…18cfbacked Binghamton | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…ee5ebacked Binghamton | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…42eebacked New Hampshire | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e3…edcabacked Binghamton | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7442…25adbacked New Hampshire | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…7887backed New Hampshire | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba98…6daebacked Binghamton | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…9422backed Binghamton | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…cb4bbacked Binghamton | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…e922backed New Hampshire | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…00ddbacked New Hampshire | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…08a2backed New Hampshire | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…c3a5backed Binghamton | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…e77ebacked Binghamton | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.