Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Chicago vs. St. Louis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0989ca5309444728e8f407f741e032fc22ac577684c5cf093c9126d82d08b4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louisof Loyola Chicago, St. Louis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Loyola Chicago | 44c | 1,217$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed St. Louis | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f99…8dccbacked St. Louis | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…3501backed Loyola Chicago | 50c | 201$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…5fbdbacked St. Louis | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…478fbacked Loyola Chicago | 43c | 189$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…970ebacked St. Louis | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08e…cb7dbacked Loyola Chicago | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9594…8f51backed Loyola Chicago | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. Louis | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked St. Louis | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.